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Ocean Science An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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https://doi.org/10.5194/os-2019-131
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-2019-131
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Submitted as: research article 27 Jan 2020

Submitted as: research article | 27 Jan 2020

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This preprint is currently under review for the journal OS.

Are tidal predictions a good guide to future extremes? – a critique of the Witness King Tides Project

John Hunter John Hunter
  • Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

Abstract. An analysis of the viability of the Witness King Tides Project (hereafter called WKT) using data from the GESLA-2 database of quasi-global tide-gauge records is described. The results indicate regions of the world where WKT should perform well (e.g. the west coast of the USA) and others where it would not (e.g. the east coast of North America). Recommendations are made both for assessments that should be made prior to a WKT project, and also for an alternative to WKT projects.

John Hunter

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John Hunter

John Hunter

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Latest update: 19 Feb 2020
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Short summary
Witness King Tides (WKT) is a citizen-science project collecting photos of the shoreline at the time of highest predicted tide each year, with the aim of indicating the flooding that may occur routinely with sea-level rise. However, effects such as storm surges may affect the results, leading to significantly lower tides than expected. Tidal observations from the GESLA-2 global database are analysed to indicate regions of the world where WKT should perform well and others where it would not.
Witness King Tides (WKT) is a citizen-science project collecting photos of the shoreline at the...
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