Journal cover Journal topic
Ocean Science An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
04 Dec 2017
Review status
This discussion paper is a preprint. It is a manuscript under review for the journal Ocean Science (OS).
Consideration of various aspects in a drift study of MH370 debris
Oleksandr Nesterov Independent Consultant (Physical Oceanography & Coastal Engineering)
Abstract. On March 7, 2014, a Boeing 777-200ER aircraft operated by Malaysian Airlines on the route MH370 from Kuala Lumpur to Beijin abruptly ceased all communications and disappeared with 239 people aboard, leaving a mystery about its fate. The subsequent analysis of so-called satellite handshakes supplemented by military radar tracking has suggested that the aircraft ended up in the southern Indian Ocean. Eventual recovery of a number of fragments washed ashore in several countries has confirmed its crash. A number of drift studies were undertaken to assist in locating the crash site, mostly focusing either on the spatial distribution of the washed ashore debris or efficacy of the aerial search operation. A recent biochemical analysis of the barnacles attached to the flaperon (the first fragment found in La RĂ©union) has indicated that their growth likely began in the water of 24 °C, then the temperature dropped to 18 °C, and then it rose up again to 25 °C. An attempt was made in the present study to take into consideration all these aspects. The analysis was conducted by the means of numerical screening of 40 hypothetical locations of the crash site along the so-called 7th arc. Obtained results indicate the likelihood of the crash site to be located between 25.5° S and 30.5° S latitudes, with the segment from 28° S to 30° S being the most promising.
Citation: Nesterov, O.: Consideration of various aspects in a drift study of MH370 debris, Ocean Sci. Discuss.,, in review, 2017.
Oleksandr Nesterov
Oleksandr Nesterov
Oleksandr Nesterov


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